Nintendo stated throughout its newest quarterly earnings name final week that it expects to promote 15 million models of the Swap 2 through the fiscal yr when it launches subsequent month. Trade analysts and traders have known as the corporate’s projections conservative, contemplating the excessive demand for the hybrid console. Nintendo, nonetheless, has stated its lower-than-expected gross sales quantity forecast displays the Nintendo Switch 2’s greater price ticket. The corporate has additionally clarified that the tariffs introduced by the US final month didn’t have an effect on its projections.
Swap 2 Worth a Consider Gross sales Forecast
In an investor Q&A printed Tuesday following the corporate’s monetary outcomes report for fiscal yr ended March 31, 2025, final week, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa stated Swap 2’s gross sales projection aimed to achieve the identical degree of gross sales the unique Swap achieved within the 10-month interval following its launch in March 2017.
“Nintendo Swap 2 is priced comparatively excessive in comparison with Nintendo Swap, so we acknowledge that there are corresponding challenges to early adoption,” Furukawa defined in response to a question about Nintendo’s conservative estimates for Swap 2 gross sales quantity. “That being stated, Nintendo Swap 2 can play appropriate Nintendo Swap software program, so there may be continuity between the platforms. We’re taking steps like bundling software program with the {hardware} to speed up adoption within the first fiscal yr, aiming to get off to the identical begin we did with Nintendo Swap.”
US Tariffs Did Not Have an effect on Forecast
Whereas Nintendo was pressured to push again Swap 2 pre-orders within the US final month after President Donald Trump introduced widespread tariffs on imported items from a number of nations, Furukawa claimed the corporate’s projections weren’t affected by the commerce state of affairs.
“The bounds of our {hardware} manufacturing capability weren’t a think about setting our gross sales quantity forecast. Moreover, the tariff state of affairs within the U.S. or a chance of a recession didn’t have an effect on our gross sales quantity forecast both,” the Nintendo president stated.
“In an effort to obtain gross sales of 15 million models, we might want to manufacture the {hardware} in portions better than that. Our first objective is to get off to the identical begin we did with Nintendo Swap, and we’re working to strengthen our manufacturing capability so we are able to reply flexibly to demand,” he added.
Nintendo Swap 2 Demand
Regardless of the upper worth level than its predecessor — Nintendo Swap 2 begins at $449.99 within the US — the upcoming console has seen excessive demand in each US and its house market in Japan. Nintendo has said it acquired 2.2 million functions for the Swap 2 lottery sale on its official on-line retailer for patrons in Japan alone — far exceeding its expectations. In truth, Furukawa stated a big variety of the candidates will not be chosen owing to excessive demand for the console.
Within the US, pre-orders for the console shortly sold out throughout retailers. The Swap 2 is anticipated to be the largest console launch in historical past and its greater worth has not deterred keen followers.
Furukawa acknowledged the sturdy response to the Swap 2 within the Q&A, however stated it could be arduous to take care of the gross sales momentum going sturdy past the launch interval.
“We acknowledge the optimistic suggestions from the Nintendo Swap 2 Expertise occasions and the state of affairs with functions for randomly chosen drawings for pre-orders on My Nintendo Retailer in Japan. However the Nintendo Swap 2 {hardware} is priced comparatively excessive in comparison with Nintendo Swap, so even when there may be momentum across the launch, we all know it is not going to be straightforward to maintain that momentum going over the long run by means of the vacation season and past.
“We have now been working to ramp up Nintendo Swap 2 {hardware} manufacturing since even earlier than we held the Nintendo Swap 2 Expertise occasions and commenced My Nintendo Retailer functions. Our gross sales quantity forecast was not decided based mostly on any restrict to manufacturing capability.”

Mario Kart World will even be obtainable as a part of a bundle with the Swap 2
Picture Credit score: Nintendo
Along with {hardware} gross sales, the manager make clear Nintendo’s software program gross sales projections, confirming the corporate’s software program gross sales quantity forecast of 45 million models didn’t embrace Mario Kart World models included within the Nintendo Swap 2 + Mario Kart World bundle.
“After we account for software program models bundled with the {hardware}, the forecast surpasses the roughly 52 million models of software program offered for Nintendo Swap within the 10 months after its launch,” he stated.
The Nintendo Swap 2 is ready for launch in choose markets on June 5. The system marks Nintendo’s first online game system launch in eight years after the unique Swap got here out in 2017.